Issued at 0900 UTC SAT JUL 05 2025
000 FONT13 KNHC 050848 PWSAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032025 0900 UTC SAT JUL 05 2025 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 6(10) X(10) X(10) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW RIVER NC 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 4(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) SURF CITY NC 34 X 5( 5) 9(14) 5(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) WILMINGTON NC 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BALD HEAD ISL 34 1 15(16) 11(27) 3(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) FLORENCE SC 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LITTLE RIVER 34 1 20(21) 17(38) 3(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) LITTLE RIVER 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MYRTLE BEACH 34 1 25(26) 18(44) 3(47) 1(48) X(48) X(48) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X 9( 9) 7(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) CHARLESTON SC 34 2 30(32) 8(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) CHARLESTON SC 50 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 1 14(15) 3(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) $$ FORECASTER PAPIN