Issued at 2100 UTC WED AUG 20 2025
000 FONT15 KNHC 202037 PWSAT5 HURRICANE ERIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 38 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 2100 UTC WED AUG 20 2025 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 95 KTS ...110 MPH...175 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) X(16) X(16) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) WALLOPS CDA 34 1 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NORFOLK NAS 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NORFOLK VA 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) OCEANA NAS VA 34 4 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ELIZABETH CTY 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CAPE HATTERAS 34 25 4(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) CHERRY PT NC 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEW RIVER NC 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MOREHEAD CITY 34 9 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) SURF CITY NC 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) WILMINGTON NC 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BALD HEAD ISL 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER PASCH